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Almudevar vs Borja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Almudevar Logo

Almudevar

3 - 1
FT
Borja Logo

Borja

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Pascual D.
56' Event
Pascual D.
68' Event
De Pablo P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almudevar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Borja haven't matched Almudevar's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Almudevar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 20%
Borja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar Borja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
3:1
Feb 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Almudevar
1:1
Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Almudevar
0:0
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Borja
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Borja Compare

Top Goalscorer De Pablo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 85 / 100
Borja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almudevar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Borja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Almudevar scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Borja let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
04 Oct
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
26 Sept
Atletico Monzon
2 : 1
Almudevar
20 Sept
Almudevar
4 : 0
CD Belchite 97
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 7

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)