Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almudevar vs Fraga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Veintemilla G.
16' Event
Velasco E.
44' Event
Vera I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Almudevar and Fraga finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
51%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of Fraga on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 16%
Fraga Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar Fraga
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.22 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
3:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fraga
5:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fraga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Veintemilla G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fraga Compare

Top Goalscorer San Agustin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 31 / 100
Fraga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Almudevar scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Almudevar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS Fraga
1 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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Fraga

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)