Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024

Almyros Gaziou

2 - 0

Apollon Smyrnis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Almyros Gaziou and Apollon Smyrnis finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almyros Gaziou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Almyros Gaziou

44%

Draws

20%

Apollon Smyrnis

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Almyros Gaziou carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Almyros Gaziou Clean Sheet 19%

Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almyros Gaziou	Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Almyros Gaziou vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Sep 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Apollon Smyrnis vs Almyros Gaziou

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almyros Gaziou 36 / 100

Apollon Smyrnis 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almyros Gaziou Apollon Smyrnis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Almyros Gaziou stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Almyros Gaziou found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Apollon Smyrnis let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Almyros Gaziou VS Apollon Smyrnis

2 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panionios	34	26	6	2	81:22	84
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	34	20	12	2	61:19	72
3	Almyros Gaziou	34	17	12	5	59:28	63
4	Aris Petroupolis	34	18	6	10	47:38	60
5	AO Ilisiakos	34	16	9	9	43:29	57
6	Ipato	34	14	9	11	45:34	51
7	Atsalenios FC	34	14	8	12	41:33	50
8	Agios Nikolaos	34	14	10	10	55:38	49
9	Chaidari	34	13	10	11	39:29	49
10	Ellopiakos	34	13	9	12	45:43	48
11	AO Proodeftiki	34	14	6	14	47:38	48
12	Apollon Smyrnis	34	10	12	12	39:37	42
13	Ermis Zonianon	34	9	10	15	36:54	37
14	Episkopi	34	9	10	15	40:54	37
15	Peramaikos	34	9	3	22	32:58	30
16	Fostiras	34	6	13	15	29:40	28
17	Paraskevi	34	5	5	24	26:82	17
18	Atromitos Piraeus	34	3	2	29	16:105	11