Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alondras vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Santin D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alondras and Barco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alondras
15%
Draws
28%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Barco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alondras's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alondras Clean Sheet 68%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Barco
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Barco
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Alondras
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Alondras
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Barco
3:0
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Barco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Santin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 51 / 100
Barco 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barco conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Barco registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Barco
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
Page 1 of 7

Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)