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Alondras vs Racing Club Villalbes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Fernandez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Alondras and Racing Club Villalbes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alondras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alondras
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Club Villalbes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alondras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alondras Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Racing Club Villalbes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Alondras
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Alondras
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Alondras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Racing Club Villalbes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 95 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Racing Club Villalbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alondras scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Alondras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing Club Villalbes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Racing Club Villalbes conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Racing Club Villalbes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Villalbes

(Away)
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
16 May
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Compostela
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)