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Alondras vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Luismi
90' Event
Alfaya M. F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Alondras and Sarriana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alondras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alondras
15%
Draws
42%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alondras come out ahead of Sarriana on wins alone.
  • Alondras are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alondras Clean Sheet 15%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Sarriana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Sarriana
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Alondras
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Sarriana
2:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Sarriana
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Alondras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Luismi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfaya M. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sarriana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 35 / 100
Sarriana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sarriana conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alondras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Sarriana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
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Sarriana

(Away)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)