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Alsager vs Leek Town

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Club Friendly 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bott A.
7' Event
Twyford J.
29' Event
Stevenson R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2019 game between Alsager and Leek Town finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leek Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Alsager
20%
Draws
65%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Alsager haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • Leek Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alsager Clean Sheet 20%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsager Leek Town
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 0 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.7
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2019 Club Friendly
Alsager vs Leek Town
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsager Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Twyford J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bott A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsager 10 / 100
Leek Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsager Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Alsager's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Solid form: Alsager remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leek Town
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsager

(Home)
22 Jul
Alsager
0 : 0
Nantwich
13 Jul
Stockport Town
3 : 3
Alsager
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 4
Lower Breck
06 Jul
Alsager
0 : 3
FC Congleton Town
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 7
Leek Town
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Leek Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5
Leek Town
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