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Altai vs Ulytau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Arena, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stoisavljevic D.
Assist: Ivanov S.
23'
Sub
Vachiberadze B. In: Taubay A.
Out: Vachiberadze B.
38' Event
Malikaydar S.
Assist: Keiler S.

AI Match Summary

Ulytau in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulytau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Altai
15%
Draws
34%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Altai at 1.21 per game, Ulytau at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Altai's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Altai Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altai Ulytau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Altai
0:3
Apr 30, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ulytau
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ulytau
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 First League
Altai vs Ulytau
0:4
Jul 4, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Altai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoisavljevic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Malikaydar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altai 86 / 100
Ulytau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altai Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Altai scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ulytau conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Ulytau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altai VS Ulytau
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altai

(Home)
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)