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Altai vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stoisavljevic D.
Assist: Ivanov S.
23'
Sub
Vachiberadze B. In: Taubay A.
Out: Vachiberadze B.
38' Event
Malikaydar S.
Assist: Keiler S.

AI Match Summary

Ulytau in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulytau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Altai
40%
Draws
29%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Altai at 1.25 per game, Ulytau at 0.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ulytau have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Altai Clean Sheet 20%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altai Ulytau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ulytau
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ulytau
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 First League
Altai vs Ulytau
0:4
Jul 4, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Altai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoisavljevic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Malikaydar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altai 32 / 100
Ulytau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altai Ulytau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Altai found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ulytau let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Altai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altai VS Ulytau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211