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Altamira vs Atletico Paraense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

Atletico Paraense in this Paraense A3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Paraense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Altamira
20%
Draws
70%
Atletico Paraense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Paraense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Paraense lately — more wins on the board than Altamira.
  • Atletico Paraense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Altamira Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamira Atletico Paraense
Matches Played 8 13
Wins 0 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 0.38 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Paraense A3
Altamira vs Atletico Paraense
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Paraense A3
Atletico Paraense vs Altamira
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamira 22 / 100
Atletico Paraense 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamira Atletico Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Paraense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Altamira scored in 38% of their last 8 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Paraense conceded in 46% of 13 recent games.

Altamira has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altamira VS Atletico Paraense
0.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamira

(Home)
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
26 Oct
Altamira
1 : 2
Atletico Paraense
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Atletico Paraense

(Away)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)