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Altamura vs Benevento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Grande M.
56' Event
Prisco A.
59'
Sub
Peschetola L. In: Suazo D.
Out: Peschetola L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altamura and Benevento finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Altamura
6%
Draws
90%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Altamura on wins alone.
  • Benevento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Benevento have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Altamura Clean Sheet 17%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Benevento
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.71 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Benevento
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Altamura
4:0
Jan 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Altamura
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Benevento
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Grande M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Prisco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 10 / 100
Benevento 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Altamura stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Benevento has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Benevento
0.71 Goals Scored 1.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)