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Altamura vs Benevento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Grande M.
56' Event
Prisco A.
59'
Sub
Peschetola L. In: Suazo D.
Out: Peschetola L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altamura and Benevento finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Altamura
15%
Draws
46%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Altamura on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Benevento have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Altamura Clean Sheet 11%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Benevento
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Benevento
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Altamura
4:0
Jan 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Altamura
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Benevento
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Grande M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Prisco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 30 / 100
Benevento 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Benevento conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Altamura has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Benevento
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)