Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altamura vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Di Tacchio F.
31'
Di Tacchio F.
36'
Pieraccini S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Altamura and Catania finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Altamura
44%
Draws
20%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catania come out ahead of Altamura on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Catania have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Altamura Clean Sheet 19%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Catania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Catania
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Altamura
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Catania
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Altamura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Curcio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Tacchio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casasola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 36 / 100
Catania 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Altamura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Catania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Catania
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Catania

(Away)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)