Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altamura vs Catania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Di Tacchio F.
31'
Di Tacchio F.
36'
Pieraccini S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altamura and Catania finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Altamura
20%
Draws
57%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catania come out ahead of Altamura on wins alone.
  • Catania are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Catania have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Altamura Clean Sheet 16%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Catania
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Catania
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Altamura
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Catania
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Altamura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Curcio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Tacchio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casasola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 15 / 100
Catania 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Catania let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Altamura stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Catania
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
Page 1 of 6

Catania

(Away)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)