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Stadium Background

Altamura vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Brosco R. In: Minelli A.
Out: Brosco R.
60'
D'Amico F.
69'
Sub
Rosafio M. In: Millico V.
Out: Rosafio M.

AI Match Summary

Altamura in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Altamura
15%
Draws
49%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Altamura have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Model gives Foggia a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Altamura have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Altamura Clean Sheet 21%
Foggia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Foggia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.86 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Foggia vs Altamura
1:2
Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Altamura
0:1
Jan 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Altamura
0:2
Sep 2, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Foggia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Curcio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 29 / 100
Foggia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Altamura scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Foggia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Foggia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

Foggia

(Away)
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)