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Altamura vs Molfetta Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Croce A.
53' Event
Molinaro S.
87' Event
Vivacqua F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Altamura in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Altamura
15%
Draws
57%
Molfetta Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molfetta Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Altamura have won more games recently than Molfetta Calcio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Altamura Clean Sheet 20%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Molfetta Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Molfetta Calcio
2:1
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Altamura
1:3
Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Molfetta Calcio
2:3
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Altamura
0:0
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
Altamura vs Molfetta Calcio
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Croce A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molinaro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 32 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Molfetta Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molfetta Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Altamura scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Molfetta Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Molfetta Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
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Molfetta Calcio

(Away)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)