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Altavilla vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Variola G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altavilla and Brian Lignano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Altavilla
30%
Draws
33%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Altavilla haven't matched Brian Lignano's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Altavilla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 18%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altavilla Brian Lignano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Brian Lignano
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Altavilla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Variola G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altavilla 41 / 100
Brian Lignano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altavilla Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altavilla has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Altavilla scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Brian Lignano let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Altavilla VS Brian Lignano
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Altavilla

(Home)
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
Page 1 of 6

Brian Lignano

(Away)
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)