Sport Picks

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Altavilla vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Arma R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altavilla and Portogruaro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Altavilla
20%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altavilla come out ahead of Portogruaro on wins alone.
  • Altavilla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altavilla Portogruaro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 13 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 0.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Portogruaro
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Altavilla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Arma R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.91

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altavilla 95 / 100
Portogruaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altavilla Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Portogruaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Altavilla scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Altavilla VS Portogruaro
0.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.14
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Altavilla

(Home)
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0
Altavilla
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)