Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altavilla vs Vigasio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Bayou B.
81' Event
Marchesini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Altavilla
15%
Draws
20%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Vigasio haven't matched Altavilla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Altavilla's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altavilla Vigasio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Vigasio
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Altavilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchesini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayou B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altavilla 77 / 100
Vigasio 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altavilla Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigasio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Altavilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Vigasio's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Altavilla VS Vigasio
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altavilla

(Home)
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
02 Apr
Altavilla
0 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)