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Altay vs Gemlikspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium, Izmir
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Toklu M.
Assist: Ozdemir B.
9' Event
Oktay S.
Assist: Kaymaz M.
39' Event
Memis A.
Assist: Ozdemir B.

AI Match Summary

Gemlikspor in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Altay
30%
Draws
51%
Gemlikspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gemlikspor lately — more wins on the board than Altay.
  • Model gives Gemlikspor a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Altay Clean Sheet 16%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altay Gemlikspor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Altay vs Gemlikspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altay Compare

Top Goalscorer Oktay S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Memis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altay 10 / 100
Gemlikspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altay Gemlikspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altay's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gemlikspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Altay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altay VS Gemlikspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altay

(Home)
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
15 Sept
Altay
2 : 4
Soke 1970
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Altay
1 : 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

Gemlikspor

(Away)
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Etimesgut 4 3 0 1 6:1 9
3 Ayvalikgucu 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Balikesirspor 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Eskisehir Anadolu 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Eskisehirspor 4 2 1 1 13:6 7
8 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
9 Bigaspor 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
10 Soke 1970 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
11 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 Altay 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
13 Bucaspor 1928 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
14 Aksehirspor 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
15 Karsiyaka 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
16 Kepez Bld. 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 4 0 2 2 1:8 2
18 Alanya 1221 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)