Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altay vs Nazillispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium, Izmir
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kavlak U.
Assist: Ozkaya O.
32' Event
Yildiz M.
Assist: Tangeldi E.
45' Event
Tangeldi E.
Assist: Sarikaya Y.

AI Match Summary

Altay in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Altay
6%
Draws
4%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altay lately — more wins on the board than Nazillispor.
  • Altay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Altay have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Altay Clean Sheet 68%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altay Nazillispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 0
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 0.5 0.13
Goals Conceded 2 7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Altay
0:3
Dec 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Nazillispor
3:0
Feb 10, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Altay vs Nazillispor
1:0
Sep 23, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Altay
1:6
Mar 8, 2015 2. Lig Red Group
Nazillispor vs Altay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altay Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavlak U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yildiz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altay 95 / 100
Nazillispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altay Nazillispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nazillispor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Nazillispor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Altay's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Altay VS Nazillispor
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
2 Goals Conceded 7
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Altay

(Home)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
29 Mar
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Altay
25 Mar
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
Page 1 of 6

Nazillispor

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)