Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altay vs Nazillispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium, Izmir
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kavlak U.
Assist: Ozkaya O.
32' Event
Yildiz M.
Assist: Tangeldi E.
45' Event
Tangeldi E.
Assist: Sarikaya Y.

AI Match Summary

Altay in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Altay
20%
Draws
0%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altay lately — more wins on the board than Nazillispor.
  • Altay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Altay have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Altay Clean Sheet 68%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altay Nazillispor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.06 0.23
Goals Conceded 1.32 3.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.01 0.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Altay
0:3
Dec 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Nazillispor
3:0
Feb 10, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Altay vs Nazillispor
1:0
Sep 23, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Altay
1:6
Mar 8, 2015 2. Lig Red Group
Nazillispor vs Altay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altay Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavlak U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yildiz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.5

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altay 95 / 100
Nazillispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altay Nazillispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nazillispor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Nazillispor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Altay's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Altay VS Nazillispor
0.88 Goals Scored 0.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.14
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Altay

(Home)
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
15 Sept
Altay
2 : 4
Soke 1970
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Altay
1 : 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
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Nazillispor

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)