Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Eppendorfer R.
68' Event
Gebuhr D.
83' Event
Saliger J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Altglienicke and Chemnitzer finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Altglienicke
15%
Draws
45%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of Altglienicke on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chemnitzer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 13%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altglienicke Chemnitzer
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.94 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
0:2
May 3, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Altglienicke
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Altglienicke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altglienicke Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliger J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Eppendorfer R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gebuhr D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altglienicke 22 / 100
Chemnitzer 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altglienicke Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altglienicke scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Chemnitzer let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Altglienicke has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altglienicke VS Chemnitzer
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altglienicke

(Home)
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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Chemnitzer

(Away)
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)