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Altona vs St. Pauli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Banks S.
25' Event
Addai M.
Own Goal
28' Event
Jahraus L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Altona and St. Pauli finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Altona
6%
Draws
90%
St. Pauli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Pauli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Pauli come out ahead of Altona on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Pauli taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Altona Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altona St. Pauli
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Altona vs St. Pauli
2:6
Oct 11, 2018 Club Friendly
Altona vs St. Pauli
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altona Compare

Top Goalscorer Jahraus L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Pauli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hara T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Banks S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altona 10 / 100
St. Pauli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altona St. Pauli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altona's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

St. Pauli let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Altona stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altona VS St. Pauli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%