Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altovicentino vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Triestina in this Serie D - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Altovicentino
30%
Draws
14%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altovicentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Altovicentino have won more games recently than Triestina.
  • Model gives Altovicentino a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Triestina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Altovicentino Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altovicentino Triestina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Altovicentino vs Triestina
2:5
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Altovicentino
3:2
Feb 22, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Altovicentino vs Triestina
2:3
Oct 12, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Altovicentino
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altovicentino 95 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altovicentino Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altovicentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Altovicentino scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Altovicentino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Triestina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Altovicentino

(Home)
07 May
Altovicentino
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
30 Apr
Union Feltre
0 : 2
Altovicentino
23 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Carenipievigina
13 Apr
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Altovicentino
09 Apr
Altovicentino
1 : 0
Cordenons
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Triestina

(Away)
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mestre 34 25 5 4 73:34 80
2 Triestina 34 21 9 4 63:33 72
3 Campodarsego 34 17 9 8 55:42 60
4 Virtus Verona 34 14 11 9 42:30 53
5 Abano 34 13 14 7 46:38 53
6 AC Belluno 34 13 11 10 40:36 50
7 Arzignano 34 13 10 11 43:34 49
8 Montebelluna 34 12 8 14 46:54 44
9 Union Feltre 34 11 10 13 35:37 43
10 Este 34 10 13 11 33:33 43
11 Legnago Salus 34 10 11 13 46:43 41
12 Altovicentino 34 11 7 16 45:55 40
13 Calvi Noale 34 11 7 16 44:45 40
14 Tamai 34 11 7 16 33:45 40
15 Cordenons 34 10 9 15 44:56 39
16 Vigasio 34 9 11 14 42:61 38
17 Vigontina 34 4 13 17 42:62 25
18 Carenipievigina 34 6 5 23 29:63 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Offs)