Sport Picks

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Altrincham vs Aldershot

England England

National League Moss Lane, Altrincham
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altrincham host Aldershot in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aldershot have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Altrincham have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Aldershot slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Altrincham. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Altrincham
15%
Draws
31%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aldershot haven't matched Altrincham's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Altrincham's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aldershot have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 20%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altrincham Aldershot
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Altrincham
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Aldershot
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Aldershot
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 National League
Aldershot vs Altrincham
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 National League
Aldershot vs Altrincham
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altrincham 36 / 100
Aldershot 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altrincham Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altrincham found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Aldershot conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Altrincham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altrincham VS Aldershot
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altrincham

(Home)
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
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