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Altyn Asyr vs Ahal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Altyn Asyr and Ahal finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Altyn Asyr
15%
Draws
28%
Ahal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altyn Asyr come out ahead of Ahal on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 10%
Ahal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altyn Asyr Ahal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.14 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
May 31, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Ahal
3:3
Apr 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Ahal
3:3
Aug 20, 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altyn Asyr 29 / 100
Ahal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altyn Asyr Ahal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altyn Asyr found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Altyn Asyr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Ahal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Altyn Asyr VS Ahal
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altyn Asyr

(Home)
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
15 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
1 : 2
Altyn Asyr
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Ahal

(Away)
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
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