Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Domzale

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Sat, May 2, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aluminij host Domzale in the Prva liga 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Aluminij at 0.97 goals for, 1.33 against; Domzale at 1.08 for, 1.92 against. Past meetings favor Aluminij slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.00) point toward Aluminij. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aluminij
20%
Draws
29%
Domzale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aluminij

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Domzale haven't matched Aluminij's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aluminij taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 20%
Domzale Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Domzale
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 7 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Domzale
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Prva liga
Domzale vs Aluminij
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Domzale
3:1
Aug 22, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Aluminij
0:2
May 18, 2024 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Domzale
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 58 / 100
Domzale 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Domzale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Domzale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aluminij has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Domzale's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1
Koper
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
Page 1 of 6

Domzale

(Away)
05 Dec
Koper
2 : 1
Domzale
30 Nov
Domzale
1 : 0
Bravo
22 Nov
Domzale
0 : 2
Celje
08 Nov
Aluminij
3 : 1
Domzale
03 Nov
Domzale
3 : 3
Mura
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)