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Aluminij vs Maribor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Aluminij Logo

Aluminij

0 - 0
FT
Maribor Logo

Maribor

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Susso B.
50'
Boben M.
66'
Sub
Bajraj M. In: Osuji B.
Out: Bajraj M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aluminij
35%
Draws
39%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maribor lately — more wins on the board than Aluminij.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 68%
Maribor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Maribor
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.92 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
2:2
Jul 19, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
0:0
May 23, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
3:0
Mar 20, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 41 / 100
Maribor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Aluminij has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aluminij's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Maribor
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 6

Maribor

(Away)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)