Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Maribor

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Susso B.
50'
Boben M.
66'
Sub
Bajraj M. In: Osuji B.
Out: Bajraj M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Aluminij
35%
Draws
49%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maribor lately — more wins on the board than Aluminij.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 20%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Maribor
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
0:0
May 23, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
3:0
Mar 20, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
2:3
Sep 19, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 32 / 100
Maribor 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aluminij has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aluminij's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Maribor
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Aluminij
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo City
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
Page 1 of 5

Maribor

(Away)
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Nafta 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
3 Bravo 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Celje 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Koper 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Grosuplje 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
7 Radomlje 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
8 Mura 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
9 O. Ljubljana 4 1 0 3 1:4 3
10 Aluminij 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)