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Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Nafta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Aluminij Logo

Aluminij

1 - 1
FT
Nafta Logo

Nafta

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Petrisko P.
Assist: Tezak V.
58'
Sub
Kambic L. In: Ferreira A.
Out: Kambic L.
58'
Sub
Pihler L. In: Omrani S.
Out: Pihler L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aluminij
30%
Draws
35%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aluminij haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aluminij a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 16%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Nafta
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.92 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Nafta
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Nafta
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 2. SNL
Nafta vs Aluminij
1:3
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Nafta vs Aluminij
3:2
Apr 16, 2005 2. SNL
Nafta vs Aluminij
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrisko P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 75 / 100
Nafta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nafta has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Aluminij remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Nafta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Nafta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 5

Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)