Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Aluminij Logo

Aluminij

1 - 1
FT
Nafta Logo

Nafta

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Petrisko P.
Assist: Tezak V.
58'
Sub
Kambic L. In: Ferreira A.
Out: Kambic L.
58'
Sub
Pihler L. In: Omrani S.
Out: Pihler L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aluminij
35%
Draws
45%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aluminij haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nafta a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 20%
Nafta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Nafta
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Nafta
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Nafta
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 2. SNL
Nafta vs Aluminij
1:3
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Nafta vs Aluminij
3:2
Apr 16, 2005 2. SNL
Nafta vs Aluminij
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrisko P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 28 / 100
Nafta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nafta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nafta has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Aluminij remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aluminij scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Nafta
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Aluminij
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo City
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
Page 1 of 7

Nafta

(Away)
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
01 Aug
Nafta
5 : 2
Mura
26 Jul
Bravo
0 : 3
Nafta
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Nafta 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
3 Bravo 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Celje 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Koper 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Grosuplje 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
7 Radomlje 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
8 Mura 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
9 O. Ljubljana 4 1 0 3 1:4 3
10 Aluminij 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)