Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini, Arak
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aluminium Arak host Esteghlal TEH in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Aluminium Arak have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Esteghlal TEH's 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Esteghlal TEH slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 0.76, favoring Esteghlal TEH. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aluminium Arak
20%
Draws
38%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esteghlal TEH lately — more wins on the board than Aluminium Arak.
  • Model gives Aluminium Arak a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
3:1
May 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
5:1
Dec 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1
Apr 12, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 42 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Aluminium Arak has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aluminium Arak's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Esteghlal TEH's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Esteghlal TEH
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
07 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 0
Zob Ahan
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Aluminium Arak
27 Jan
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1
Tractor
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Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
17 Feb
Al Hussein
3 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
10 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
0 : 1
Al Hussein
05 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)