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Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Moradi I.
Assist: Farsi A.
45' Event
Bozorg S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Moradi I. In: Maleki A.
Out: Moradi I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
23%
Kheybar Khorramabad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kheybar Khorramabad lately — more wins on the board than Aluminium Arak.
  • Win probability leans Aluminium Arak's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Kheybar Khorramabad
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.81 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2:2
Jan 22, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghanbari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kheybar Khorramabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Moradi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghahremani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 59 / 100
Kheybar Khorramabad 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Kheybar Khorramabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aluminium Arak remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aluminium Arak's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Kheybar Khorramabad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Kheybar Khorramabad
1 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

Kheybar Khorramabad

(Away)
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
10 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
11 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
14 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)