Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Marzban R.
31'
Hajieydi A.
37'
Sub
Houshmand A. In: Mahdavi M.
Out: Houshmand A.

AI Match Summary

Sepahan in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sepahan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
28%
Sepahan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sepahan lately — more wins on the board than Aluminium Arak.
  • Aluminium Arak are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Sepahan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.85 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan
0:1
Dec 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Aluminium Arak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 68 / 100
Sepahan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Sepahan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aluminium Arak remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aluminium Arak found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Sepahan conceded in 44% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Sepahan
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
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Sepahan

(Away)
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0
Sepahan
18 Aug
Sepahan
0 : 2
Tractor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)