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Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Alumni Los Hornos and Belgrano Zarate finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alumni Los Hornos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alumni Los Hornos
30%
Draws
37%
Belgrano Zarate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belgrano Zarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Belgrano Zarate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 20%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alumni Los Hornos Belgrano Zarate
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 15
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.06 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos
2:1
May 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alumni Los Hornos 32 / 100
Belgrano Zarate 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alumni Los Hornos Belgrano Zarate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Alumni Los Hornos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alumni Los Hornos's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Belgrano Zarate has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alumni Los Hornos VS Belgrano Zarate
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alumni Los Hornos

(Home)
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6
Alumni Los Hornos
09 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Barrancas
Page 1 of 4

Belgrano Zarate

(Away)
07 Sept
Las Mandarinas
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
31 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
24 Aug
Ezeiza
3 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
16 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Barrancas
12 Aug
Buenos Aires City
0 : 2
Belgrano Zarate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)