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Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Alumni Los Hornos and Belgrano Zarate finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alumni Los Hornos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alumni Los Hornos
39%
Draws
30%
Belgrano Zarate
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgrano Zarate has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Alumni Los Hornos.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Promocional Amateur provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 20%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alumni Los Hornos Belgrano Zarate
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 15
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alumni Los Hornos 32 / 100
Belgrano Zarate 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alumni Los Hornos Belgrano Zarate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Belgrano Zarate let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alumni Los Hornos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Belgrano Zarate lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alumni Los Hornos VS Belgrano Zarate
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Atletico Pilar71155:124
7Provincial61053:123
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Belgrano Zarate82424:410
5Buenos Aires City72325:49
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108