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Alumni Los Hornos vs Ezeiza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Alumni Los Hornos and Ezeiza finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezeiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alumni Los Hornos
15%
Draws
48%
Ezeiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ezeiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezeiza come out ahead of Alumni Los Hornos on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 15%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alumni Los Hornos Ezeiza
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Alumni Los Hornos
2:6
Jun 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Ezeiza
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alumni Los Hornos 35 / 100
Ezeiza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alumni Los Hornos Ezeiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezeiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Alumni Los Hornos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alumni Los Hornos's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Ezeiza let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alumni Los Hornos VS Ezeiza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alumni Los Hornos

(Home)
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6
Alumni Los Hornos
09 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Barrancas
Page 1 of 4

Ezeiza

(Away)
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 0
Buenos Aires City
30 Aug
Academia Control Orientado
0 : 1
Ezeiza
27 Aug
Las Mandarinas
0 : 2
Ezeiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)