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Alushta vs FC Gvardeyets

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2021/2022
Sat, Jun 4, 2022
3 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alushta host FC Gvardeyets in the Premier League (Crimea) 2021/2022. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Alushta at 2.38 goals for, 1.88 against; FC Gvardeyets at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor FC Gvardeyets slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2022, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.79 - 1.44) back FC Gvardeyets to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alushta
33%
Draws
27%
FC Gvardeyets
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alushta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alushta come out ahead of FC Gvardeyets on wins alone.
  • Alushta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alushta Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gvardeyets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alushta FC Gvardeyets
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
Alushta vs FC Gvardeyets
3:0
Apr 17, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Gvardeyets vs Alushta
2:2
Nov 20, 2021 Premier League (Crimea)
Alushta vs FC Gvardeyets
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Gvardeyets vs Alushta
4:1
May 23, 2021 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Gvardeyets vs Alushta
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alushta 39 / 100
FC Gvardeyets 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alushta FC Gvardeyets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gvardeyets has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Gvardeyets's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alushta's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alushta VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alushta

(Home)
12 Nov
Sparta-KT
6 : 0
Alushta
05 Nov
Alushta
0 : 2
Chernomorets Sevastopol
01 Nov
Chernomorets Sevastopol
1 : 0
Alushta
28 Oct
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Alushta
21 Oct
Alushta
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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FC Gvardeyets

(Away)
08 Jun
FC Gvardeyets
0 : 3
Ocean Kerch
04 Jun
Alushta
3 : 0
FC Gvardeyets
28 May
FC Gvardeyets
0 : 3
Rubin Yalta
22 May
FC Gvardeyets
0 : 3
Yevpatoriya
04 May
Kyzyltash
3 : 0
FC Gvardeyets
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