Sport Picks
Alvarado vs Argentino MM
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata 
Match Events
1'
1'
Amaya I.
25'
25'
Gorgerino C.
46'
46'
Sub
Amaya I. In: Rassol F.
Out: Amaya I.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Alvarado and Argentino MM finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Argentino MM
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Alvarado carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Alvarado's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 20%
Argentino MM Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvarado | Argentino MM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Argentino MM
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvarado Compare
Top Goalscorer Makarte R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Argentino MM Compare
Top Goalscorer Blangetti I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvarado 42 / 100
Argentino MM 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvarado Argentino MM
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Argentino MM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Alvarado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Alvarado's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Alvarado VS Argentino MM
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvarado
(Home) 20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
12 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
Argentino MM
(Away) 13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Villa Mitre
06 Sept
Huracan Las Heras
1 : 2 Argentino MM
30 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Juventud Antoniana
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
16 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Huracan Las Heras
1 : 2 Argentino MM
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
12 Aug
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Argentino MM
03 Aug
Kimberley
1 : 0 Argentino MM
26 Jul
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 1 Argentino MM
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
