Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Seaton J.
55'
55'
Abbey J.
68'
68'
Ilesanmi E.
AI Match Summary
Alvechurch in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alvechurch lately — more wins on the board than Barwell.
- Win probability leans Alvechurch's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Alvechurch have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Barwell Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Barwell
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Alvechurch vs Barwell
4:2
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Alvechurch
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Barwell
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Alvechurch
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Abbey J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ilesanmi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Barwell Compare
Top Goalscorer Seaton J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 76 / 100
Barwell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Barwell
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvechurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alvechurch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Barwell conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Alvechurch has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Barwell
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2 Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Wolverhampton City
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Barwell
(Away) 29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
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29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
03 Apr
Alvechurch
2 : 1 Barwell
14 Mar
Worcester
2 : 1 Barwell
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
