Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2023/2024

Alvechurch

0 - 1

Coalville Town

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Doyle-Charles J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Trophy 2023/2024 game between Alvechurch and Coalville Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coalville Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Alvechurch

Draws

Coalville Town

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alvechurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Alvechurch carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Alvechurch taking it.
Cup games in FA Trophy 2023/2024 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Coalville Town here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Alvechurch Clean Sheet 17%

Coalville Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alvechurch	Coalville Town
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	9
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central

Coalville Town vs Alvechurch

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Dec 5, 2023 Southern League Premier Central

Alvechurch vs Coalville Town

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Oct 28, 2023 FA Trophy

Alvechurch vs Coalville Town

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Apr 18, 2023 Southern League Premier Central

Alvechurch vs Coalville Town

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 0 - 4

0:3

Aug 13, 2022 Southern League Premier Central

Coalville Town vs Alvechurch

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alvechurch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Coalville Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle-Charles J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 84 / 100

Coalville Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alvechurch Coalville Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Alvechurch found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Coalville Town let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvechurch VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Hereford-

TBD-

Haringey Borough1

Redbridge2

Bognor Regis3

Gosport Borough0

South Park2

Leighton Town1

Frome Town1

Cribbs0

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Torquay-

TBD-

Yeovil-

Rochdale-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Weston-super-Mare-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers4

Chesham3

TBD-

Woking-

Poole Town2

Bracknell Town3

Larkhall1

Horsham FC2

AFC Totton2

Merthyr Town1

TBD-

Havant & Waterlooville-

Dagenham & Red.-

TBD-

Potters0

Leiston1

TBD-

Peterborough Sports-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Stourbridge5

Bamber Bridge1

TBD-

King’s Lynn-

Halifax-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Buxton-

TBD-

City Of Liverpool1

Stamford0

TBD-

Hartlepool-

Southend-

TBD-

Chatham0

Cray Valley2

TBD-

Hampton & Richmond-

Curzon Ashton-

TBD-

North Ferriby FC0

Matlock3

Alfreton-

TBD-

Macclesfield4

Halesowen1

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Maidenhead-

Ebbsfleet-

TBD-

Stortford-

TBD-

St. Albans-

Eastleigh-

TBD-

Aldershot-

Bath City-

TBD-

Harrow Borough1

Beaconsfield Town2

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Hemel Hempstead-

TBD-

Walsall Wood2

Guiseley1

Alvechurch0

Coalville Town1

TBD-

Boston United-

Bromley-

TBD-

Slough Town-

TBD-

Farnborough-

Chippenham Town-

TBD-

Swindon Supermarine0

Basingstoke3

Gloucester City-

TBD-

Braintree-

Aveley-

TBD-

St Ives Town3

Marine1

Westfield1

Hungerford3

TBD-

Truro-

Banbury-

TBD-

Nuneaton2

Hyde0

TBD-

AFC Fylde-

Welling-

TBD-

Taunton Town-

Stafford5

Quorn3

TBD-

Brackley-

Chesterfield-

TBD-

Southport-

TBD-

South Shields-

Farsley-

TBD-

United of Manchester2

Radcliffe3

Redditch3

Ashton United0

TBD-

Rushall-

Barnet-

TBD-

Dartford-

TBD-

Maidstone-

Oxford City-

TBD-

Harborough1

Avro0

TBD-

Chelmsford-

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Billericay5

Bury Town0

TBD-

Tamworth-

Oldham-

TBD-

Spennymoor-

TBD-

Worksop0

Mickleover5

Hendon2

Walton & Hersham1

TBD-

Eastbourne Borough-

Dover Ath.-

TBD-

Weymouth-

Hythe3

Ramsgate1

TBD-

Tonbridge-

Kingstonian0

Whitehawk4

Dulwich Hamlet0

Lewes2

Chorley-

TBD-

Scarborough Athletic-

Warrington Town-

TBD-

Blyth Spartans-

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Darlington FC-

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Nantwich1

Stratford0

TBD-

Chester-

TBD-

York City-

1/64-finals

Hereford4

Redbridge1

Bognor Regis1

South Park4

Frome Town3

Worthing FC2

Torquay2

Yeovil1

Rochdale-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Weston-super-Mare4

Cray Wanderers1

TBD-

Woking-

Bracknell Town0

Horsham FC3

AFC Totton2

Havant & Waterlooville1

Dagenham & Red.-

TBD-

Leiston1

Peterborough Sports4

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Stourbridge2

King’s Lynn1

Halifax-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Buxton1

City Of Liverpool3

TBD-

Hartlepool-

Southend-

TBD-

Cray Valley1

Hampton & Richmond5

Curzon Ashton2

Matlock0

Alfreton2

Macclesfield4

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Maidenhead-

Ebbsfleet-

TBD-

Stortford3

St. Albans1

Eastleigh-

TBD-

Aldershot-

Bath City1

Beaconsfield Town0

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Hemel Hempstead1

Walsall Wood2

Coalville Town2

Boston United1

Bromley-

TBD-

Slough Town2

Farnborough1

Chippenham Town2

Basingstoke1

Gloucester City3

Braintree0

Aveley2

St Ives Town1

Hungerford2

Truro0

Banbury2

Nuneaton4

TBD-

AFC Fylde-

Welling3

Taunton Town2

Stafford0

Brackley1

Chesterfield-

TBD-

Southport4

South Shields0

Farsley2

Radcliffe4

Redditch2

Rushall1

Barnet-

TBD-

Dartford0

Maidstone1

Oxford City-

TBD-

Harborough0

Chelmsford2

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Billericay3

Tamworth1

Oldham-

TBD-

Spennymoor1

Mickleover3

Hendon2

Eastbourne Borough0

Dover Ath.4

Weymouth5

Hythe1

Tonbridge0

Whitehawk3

Lewes1

Chorley1

Scarborough Athletic0

Warrington Town1

Blyth Spartans3

Scunthorpe2

Darlington FC0

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Nantwich1

Chester0

TBD-

York City-

1/32-finals

Hereford1

South Park0

Frome Town1

Torquay4

Rochdale1

Gateshead5

Weston-super-Mare3

Woking2

Horsham FC2

AFC Totton0

Dagenham & Red.1

Peterborough Sports2

Kidderminster4

Stourbridge1

Halifax0

Altrincham1

City Of Liverpool1

Hartlepool5

Southend2

Hampton & Richmond3

Curzon Ashton0

Macclesfield2

Dorking Wanderers3

Maidenhead0

Ebbsfleet1

Stortford2

Eastleigh2

Aldershot3

Bath City1

Boreham Wood0

Walsall Wood0

Coalville Town2

Bromley1

Slough Town0

Chippenham Town5

Gloucester City3

Aveley2

Hungerford1

Nuneaton2

AFC Fylde3

Welling2

Brackley1

Chesterfield6

Southport1

Radcliffe4

Redditch0

Barnet4

Maidstone0

Oxford City0

Chelmsford1

Wealdstone4

Billericay1

Oldham4

Mickleover3

Hendon2

Weymouth0

Hythe3

Whitehawk2

Chorley2

Blyth Spartans0

Scunthorpe0

Solihull Moors2

Nantwich3

York City2

1/16-finals

Hereford2

Torquay0

Gateshead3

Weston-super-Mare2

Horsham FC0

Peterborough Sports3

Kidderminster1

Altrincham0

Hartlepool0

Hampton & Richmond1

Macclesfield5

Dorking Wanderers0

Stortford6

Aldershot1

Bath City0

Coalville Town1

Bromley2

Chippenham Town1

Aveley1

AFC Fylde0

Welling2

Chesterfield0

Radcliffe1

Barnet2

Chelmsford0

Wealdstone1

Oldham1

Hendon2

Hythe1

Chorley2

Solihull Moors5

Nantwich1

1/8-finals

Hereford0

Gateshead1

Peterborough Sports1

Kidderminster0

Hampton & Richmond0

Macclesfield2

Stortford0

Coalville Town3

Bromley2

Aveley0

Welling0

Barnet3

Wealdstone4

Hendon0

Chorley1

Solihull Moors3

Quarter-finals

Gateshead3

Peterborough Sports2

Macclesfield3

Coalville Town0

Bromley2

Barnet0

Wealdstone1

Solihull Moors2

Semi-finals

Gateshead2

Macclesfield1

Bromley1

Solihull Moors2

Final

Gateshead3

Solihull Moors2