Sport Picks
Alvechurch vs Lowestoft
England
Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 
Match Events
33'
33'
Rangel J.
45'
45'
Willock S.
53'
53'
Wakefield K.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 game between Alvechurch and Lowestoft finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lowestoft haven't matched Alvechurch's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Alvechurch taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Lowestoft Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Lowestoft |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Lowestoft
3:2
Jan 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Lowestoft vs Alvechurch
0:4
Apr 16, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Lowestoft
2:0
Aug 28, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Lowestoft vs Alvechurch
3:2
Feb 27, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Lowestoft vs Alvechurch
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Wakefield K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Willock S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Lowestoft Compare
Top Goalscorer Rangel J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duffy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 85 / 100
Lowestoft 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Lowestoft
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvechurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alvechurch scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Lowestoft has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Lowestoft
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 22 Aug
Stortford
0 : 3 Alvechurch
15 Aug
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Needham Market
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Worcester
08 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Alvechurch
28 Jul
Kidderminster
0 : 0 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Needham Market
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Worcester
11 Jul
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0 Royston Town
Page 1 of 3
Lowestoft
(Away) 20 Sept
Waltham Abbey
4 : 1 Lowestoft
06 Sept
Lowestoft
2 : 0 Leverstock Green
30 Aug
FC Witham Town
3 : 2 Lowestoft
02 Aug
Lowestoft
0 : 1 Needham Market
12 Jul
Bury Town
0 : 0 Lowestoft
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Waltham Abbey
4 : 1 Lowestoft
30 Aug
FC Witham Town
3 : 2 Lowestoft
12 Jul
Bury Town
0 : 0 Lowestoft
26 Apr
Alvechurch
3 : 2 Lowestoft
18 Apr
Telford
7 : 1 Lowestoft
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bedford | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 79:58 | 82 |
| 2 | Kettering | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 73:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Telford | 42 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 82:60 | 74 |
| 4 | Halesowen | 42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 65:46 | 74 |
| 5 | Harborough | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 65:42 | 71 |
| 6 | Stamford | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 53:51 | 69 |
| 7 | Spalding United | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 70:54 | 68 |
| 8 | Stratford | 42 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 61:44 | 67 |
| 9 | Stourbridge | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 60:50 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:58 | 60 |
| 11 | Royston Town | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 51:49 | 57 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 40:40 | 57 |
| 13 | Alvechurch | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 49:46 | 56 |
| 14 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 57:61 | 51 |
| 15 | Stortford | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 52:62 | 51 |
| 16 | St Ives Town | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 58:60 | 50 |
| 17 | Sudbury | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 52:57 | 50 |
| 18 | Redditch | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50:58 | 49 |
| 19 | Barwell | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 56:75 | 46 |
| 20 | Lowestoft | 42 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 55:106 | 37 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 54:84 | 34 |
| 22 | Biggleswade Town | 42 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 44:77 | 28 |
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
