Sport Picks
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
26'
26'
Ilesanmi E.
27'
27'
Osborne J.
AI Match Summary
Alvechurch in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alvechurch lately — more wins on the board than Needham Market.
- Win probability leans Alvechurch's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 19%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Needham Market |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Alvechurch
1:0
Dec 23, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
0:3
Aug 26, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Alvechurch
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilesanmi E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Osborne J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Needham Market Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 42 / 100
Needham Market 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Needham Market
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alvechurch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Needham Market conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Alvechurch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Needham Market
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2 Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Wolverhampton City
Page 1 of 4
Needham Market
(Away) 03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3 Needham Market
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3 Needham Market
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0 Needham Market
29 Aug
Stratford
1 : 2 Needham Market
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
