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Alverca B vs Nogueirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B Logo

Alverca B

3 - 0
FT
Nogueirense Logo

Nogueirense

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
30' Event
90' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Alverca B and Nogueirense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alverca B
35%
Draws
30%
Nogueirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nogueirense haven't matched Alverca B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alverca B a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B Nogueirense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Nogueirense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 95 / 100
Nogueirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B Nogueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nogueirense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Alverca B's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alverca B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS Nogueirense
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0
Alverca B
25 Oct
Alverca B
3 : 0
Nogueirense
11 Oct
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 1
Alverca B
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
Page 1 of 6

Nogueirense

(Away)
01 Nov
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 3
Nogueirense
25 Oct
Alverca B
3 : 0
Nogueirense
11 Oct
Nogueirense
0 : 0
Naval 1893
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)