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Alverca U19 vs Amora U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 game between Alverca U19 and Amora U19 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alverca U19
20%
Draws
57%
Amora U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amora U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alverca U19 come out ahead of Amora U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alverca U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alverca U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Amora U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Amora U19
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Amora U19 vs Alverca U19
2:0
Sep 25, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Amora U19
1:0
Jun 5, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Amora U19
4:1
May 8, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Amora U19 vs Alverca U19
1:5
Jan 18, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Amora U19 vs Alverca U19
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 42 / 100
Amora U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Amora U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 68% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Alverca U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
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Amora U19

(Away)
21 May
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Amora U19
14 May
Amora U19
2 : 2
Vilafranquense U19
07 May
Belenenses U19
0 : 1
Amora U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 FC Porto U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Braga U19 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Leixoes U19 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Sporting CP U19 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Belenenses U19 3 1 0 2 3:13 3
4 Academica U19 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pacos Ferreira U19 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
2 Famalicao U19 8 3 4 1 12:10 13
3 Rio Ave U19 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
4 Vizela U19 8 3 1 4 12:17 10
5 Tondela U19 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alverca U19 10 8 2 0 34:9 26
2 Estoril U19 10 6 1 3 24:19 19
3 Vitoria Setubal U19 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Sacavenense U19 10 5 1 4 30:13 16
5 Amora U19 10 2 1 7 18:42 7
6 Vilafranquense U19 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)