Sport Picks
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Martins R.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Coelho D.
40'
40'
Grilo M.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Alverca U19 and Benfica U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Benfica U19 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica U19 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca U19 | Benfica U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.71 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Alverca U19
2:1
Jan 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Alverca U19
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Grilo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85
Benfica U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Coelho D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca U19 10 / 100
Benfica U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca U19 Benfica U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Benfica U19 conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alverca U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alverca U19 VS Benfica U19
1.43 Goals Scored 2.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca U19
(Home) 13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Torreense U19
Page 1 of 3
Benfica U19
(Away) 12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1 SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2 Torreense U19
15 Aug
Oriental U19
0 : 0 Benfica U19
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Oriental U19
0 : 0 Benfica U19
16 May
Famalicao U19
2 : 1 Benfica U19
25 Apr
FC Porto U19
3 : 3 Benfica U19
11 Apr
Santa Clara U19
3 : 2 Benfica U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
