Sport Picks
Alverca U19 vs Leiria U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Henriques R.
22'
22'
Sane B.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Alverca U19 and Leiria U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alverca U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leiria U19 come out ahead of Alverca U19 on wins alone.
- Alverca U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca U19 | Leiria U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.53 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Leiria U19
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
1:0
Dec 11, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
0:4
Sep 18, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Leiria U19
5:0
Dec 7, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Leiria U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Henriques R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sane B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca U19 74 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca U19 Leiria U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Leiria U19 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Alverca U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alverca U19 VS Leiria U19
1.43 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca U19
(Home) 13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
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06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Torreense U19
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Leiria U19
(Away) 12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2 Leiria U19
28 Mar
Santa Clara U19
1 : 2 Leiria U19
21 Mar
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 2 Leiria U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
