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Alverca vs Estoril

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alverca
20%
Draws
10%
Estoril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alverca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Alverca have won more games recently than Estoril.
  • Win probability leans Alverca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alverca Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca Estoril
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Estoril
2:0
May 10, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Estoril
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Alverca
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Alverca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca 85 / 100
Estoril 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca Estoril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alverca scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alverca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca VS Estoril
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1
Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Alverca
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Estoril

(Away)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
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