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Alverca vs Estoril

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alverca
17%
Draws
13%
Estoril
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alverca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Estoril average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Alverca's 0.88.
  • Win probability leans Alverca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alverca Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca Estoril
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Estoril
2:0
May 10, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Estoril
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Alverca
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Alverca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca 67 / 100
Estoril 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca Estoril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Estoril has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alverca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca VS Estoril
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca

(Home)
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
16 May
Famalicao
1 : 0
Alverca
10 May
Alverca
1 : 1
Estoril
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Estoril

(Away)
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0
Atletico CP
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3
Benfica
10 May
Alverca
1 : 1
Estoril
03 May
Braga
1 : 1
Estoril
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