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Alvorada vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

1 - 1
FT
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Logo

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alvorada
30%
Draws
35%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alvorada lately — more wins on the board than Forca Jovem Aquidaba.
  • Model gives Alvorada a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 20%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2019 Tocantinense
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Alvorada
5:1
Apr 14, 2019 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Forca Jovem Aquidaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alvorada found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Alvorada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)