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Alvorada vs Kabure EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2008
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 game between Alvorada and Kabure EC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alvorada
35%
Draws
32%
Kabure EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alvorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alvorada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 18%
Kabure EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Kabure EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2008 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Alvorada
5:2
May 1, 2008 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Kabure EC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Kabure EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Kabure EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Alvorada's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kabure EC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Alvorada went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
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Kabure EC

(Away)
16 May
Kabure EC
0 : 0
Araguaina
03 May
Kabure EC
2 : 2
Tocantinopolis
01 May
Kabure EC
3 : 0
Ipiranga TO
25 Apr
Tubarao
4 : 1
Kabure EC
22 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Kabure EC
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