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Alvorada vs Miracema EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

3 - 3
FT
Miracema EC Logo

Miracema EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Alvorada and Miracema EC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alvorada
35%
Draws
26%
Miracema EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alvorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alvorada a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 18%
Miracema EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Miracema EC
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2006 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Alvorada
0:0
May 15, 2005 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Alvorada
5:2
Apr 14, 2005 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Miracema EC
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Miracema EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Miracema EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miracema EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Alvorada's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Alvorada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
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Miracema EC

(Away)
26 Apr
Tocantinopolis
8 : 0
Miracema EC
23 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 0
Alvorada
20 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 4
Colinas
01 Apr
Miracema EC
1 : 3
Araguaina
29 Mar
Interporto
1 : 2
Miracema EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)