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Alvorada vs Taquarussu

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alvorada in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alvorada
30%
Draws
0%
Taquarussu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Alvorada have won more games recently than Taquarussu.
  • Model gives Alvorada a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 20%
Taquarussu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Taquarussu
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.6 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.7 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Alvorada vs Taquarussu
5:1
Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Alvorada vs Taquarussu
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Taquarussu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Taquarussu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taquarussu has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Taquarussu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alvorada found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS Taquarussu
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Taquarussu

(Away)
01 Nov
Interporto
6 : 0
Taquarussu
26 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 5
Palmas
18 Oct
Alvorada
5 : 1
Taquarussu
11 Oct
Taquarussu
1 : 3
Uniao de Palmas
02 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 0
Taquarussu
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)