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Alvorada vs Taquarussu

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2025
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

5 - 1
FT
Taquarussu Logo

Taquarussu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alvorada in this Tocantinense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alvorada
30%
Draws
23%
Taquarussu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alvorada have won more games recently than Taquarussu.
  • Alvorada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 20%
Taquarussu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Taquarussu
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 11 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.6 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Alvorada vs Taquarussu
5:1
Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Alvorada vs Taquarussu
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Taquarussu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Taquarussu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taquarussu let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Alvorada scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Alvorada stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS Taquarussu
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
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Taquarussu

(Away)
03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8
Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
20 Sept
Batalhao
4 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
2 Uniao de Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Alvorada 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
4 Interporto 4 2 2 0 11:2 2
5 Taquarussu 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarai SC 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Paraiso EC 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Central Tocantinense 4 2 1 1 8:7 1
4 Araguaia (TO) 4 1 0 3 4:10 -6
5 Tocantins 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)