Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alzenau vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau Logo

Alzenau

1 - 1
FT
Fernwald Logo

Fernwald

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between Alzenau and Fernwald finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alzenau
35%
Draws
30%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alzenau's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what Fernwald have produced (1.48).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 14%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzenau Fernwald
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.48
Goals Conceded 2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Fernwald
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Fernwald
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Alzenau
3:5
Mar 2, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Alzenau
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Fernwald
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzenau 35 / 100
Fernwald 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzenau Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Alzenau's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Fernwald let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Alzenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alzenau VS Fernwald
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzenau

(Home)
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
05 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 2
CSC 03 Kassel
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 34:20 25
2 Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 33:10 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 26:18 22
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 11 6 3 2 24:17 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20:18 20
6 Hunfelder 11 6 1 4 21:16 19
7 VfB Marburg 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
8 Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
9 Darmstadt U21 11 4 3 4 24:17 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 18:16 15
11 CSC 03 Kassel 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 RW Walldorf 11 4 1 6 17:24 13
13 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
14 Alzenau 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 16:24 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 12:18 8
17 Hanauer SC 11 1 4 6 18:29 7
18 Giessen 11 1 3 7 14:29 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)