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Alzira vs Hercules B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
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Match Events

85' Event
Mamourou J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Alzira and Hercules B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercules B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alzira
20%
Draws
51%
Hercules B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hercules B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hercules B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alzira's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alzira Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzira Hercules B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Hercules B
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Hercules B vs Alzira
2:2
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Hercules B
1:0
Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Hercules B vs Alzira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Hercules B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamourou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzira 36 / 100
Hercules B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzira Hercules B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alzira scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Hercules B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alzira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alzira VS Hercules B
0.71 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzira

(Home)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
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Hercules B

(Away)
26 Sept
Atzeneta
0 : 1
Hercules B
19 Sept
Hercules B
3 : 1
Torrellano
13 Sept
Espanol de San Vicente
2 : 2
Hercules B
05 Sept
Hercules B
1 : 2
SC Torrevieja
09 May
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 0
Hercules B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)