Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Hercules B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alzira play Hercules B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alzira averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Hercules B averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Alzira won 2, Hercules B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Alzira and 1.06 for Hercules B. This points to a Hercules B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Alzira

27%

Draws

41%

Hercules B

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Hercules B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Alzira picked up more points recently compared to Hercules B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Alzira Clean Sheet 22%

Hercules B Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alzira	Hercules B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Alzira vs Hercules B

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Hercules B vs Alzira

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Alzira vs Hercules B

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Hercules B vs Alzira

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Hercules B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamourou J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzira 33 / 100

Hercules B 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alzira Hercules B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hercules B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alzira attacking → ← attacking Hercules B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzira scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hercules B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Alzira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hercules B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 38

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Castellonense	34	20	7	7	56:30	67
2	Atletico Saguntino	34	20	6	8	50:30	66
3	Levante B	34	18	11	5	54:26	65
4	Villarreal C	34	19	6	9	63:36	63
5	La Nucia	34	16	13	5	44:26	61
6	CD Bunol	34	13	11	10	34:40	50
7	Vall de Uxo	34	13	10	11	31:29	49
8	Ontinyent 1931 CF	34	13	9	12	32:30	48
9	Torrellano	34	13	8	13	40:38	47
10	Soneja	34	13	6	15	35:42	45
11	Hercules B	34	10	11	13	31:46	41
12	Roda	34	11	7	16	32:45	40
13	Crevillente	34	9	11	14	44:49	38
14	Jove	34	10	8	16	35:44	38
15	Atzeneta	34	10	7	17	29:39	37
16	Utiel	34	7	10	17	30:45	31
17	Alzira	34	7	10	17	32:49	31
18	Recambios Colon	34	2	13	19	27:55	19