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Amadense vs AD Boquinhense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Amadense Logo

Amadense

0 - 1
FT
AD Boquinhense Logo

AD Boquinhense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Boquinhense in this Sergipano 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Boquinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Amadense
15%
Draws
59%
AD Boquinhense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Boquinhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amadense lately — more wins on the board than AD Boquinhense.
  • Win probability leans AD Boquinhense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Amadense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Amadense Clean Sheet 19%
AD Boquinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amadense AD Boquinhense
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Sergipano 3
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
3:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
AD Boquinhense vs Amadense
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amadense 28 / 100
AD Boquinhense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amadense AD Boquinhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Boquinhense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Amadense scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: AD Boquinhense conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

Amadense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amadense VS AD Boquinhense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amadense

(Home)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
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AD Boquinhense

(Away)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Sete de Junho
2 : 0
AD Boquinhense
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
21 Sept
CS Maruinense
1 : 1
AD Boquinhense
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)